INational Fireworks Association (kanye namalungu ayo angaphezu kwe-1200) amele intshisekelo yabakhiqizi beziqhumane, abangenisa impahla ezweni kanye nabathengisi ezingeni likazwelonke phambi kwabenzi bomthetho nabalawuli beFederal. Siphakamisa nokuphepha njenge-lynchpin yomkhakha. I-NFA ikholelwa ekusebenziseni isayensi ezwakalayo ukukhuthaza ukuphepha kwamadivayisi we-pyrotechnic, futhi sisebenza njengezwi lezigidi zabantu baseMelika abasebenzisa imikhiqizo yethu.
ICoronavirus ibe nomthelela kubakhiqizi beziqhumane, abangenisa impahla emazweni angaphandle, abasabalalisi nabathengisi, futhi ngaphandle kokukhululeka okufanelekile komthetho futhi okungenzeka kube semthethweni, igciwane lizoba nemiphumela emikhulu esikhathini esizayo seziqhumane sango-2020 kanye namabhizinisi amancane angenisa, asabalalise futhi athengise iziqhumane.

I-NFA, kanye nethimba lethu laseWashington, DC, bayaqhubeka nokwenza leli cala ezinhlakeni ezifanele zomthetho nezilawulayo ukuze zenzele imboni yethu:
Kunokukhathazeka kwangempela mayelana nokulethwa kwempahla ye-fireworks ekhiqizwa futhi ithunyelwe e-US ivela eChina. Sidinga iCongress ukuqinisekisa ukuthi amachweba ase-US ayayithola le mikhumbi yamabhonteyina futhi abeka phambili ukuhlolwa kwawo ukusula iziqukathi ngokushesha.

Iziqhumane ziwumkhiqizo “ohambisana nesikhathi sonyaka” odingwa yimboni ngoJulayi 4. Kungasabeka uma amachweba ethola iziqukathi ezinkulu, ezisheshayo, ezigcwele iziqhumane, futhi bezingakulungele kahle ukuzicubungula. Ukungabi nayo imikhiqizo kuzodala ukubambezeleka okwengeziwe futhi okungaba yinhlekelele, kuvimbele umkhiqizo ukuthi uphume emachwebeni ungene ezitolo nasezinqolobaneni.
Isizathu ebesikade sikhuthaza ukuthi imiphumela ye-Coronavirus ingaphesheya kwebhodi. Imboni yeziqhumane yezobuchwepheshe engu-1.3G no-1.4S, kanye nomkhakha weziqhumane zabathengi ongu-1.4G, zizolimala ngokwezezimali. Imiphumela yegciwane ekukhiqizeni nasekuthengisweni kwezinto ezivela eChina ayikaziwa. Ngeshwa, ukuqubuka kwegciwane kuza ezithendeni zengozi eyenzeka ngoDisemba ka-2019, okuholele ekuvalweni kwawo wonke amafekthri e-fireworks nguhulumeni waseChina. Le yinqubo ejwayelekile lapho kwenzeka ingozi yalolu hlobo.

Lokho esikwaziyo:
• Kuzoba khona ukushoda kokufakwa kweziqhumane kule sizini yeziqhumane, okuzoba nomthelela omubi embonini yethu.
• Izimpahla ezifika emachwebeni ase-US zizongena ngemuva kwesikhathi kunokujwayelekile, kudale ukusilela emuva nokubambezeleka okwengeziwe - okungenzeka kube ngasekupheleni kweNtwasahlobo.
• Iziqhumane, ikakhulukazi lezo ezisohlangothini lwabathengi, “zinezinkathi ezithile zonyaka,” okusho ukuthi cishe yonke imali engenayo yonyaka owodwa yengxenye enkulu yomkhakha yenzeka phakathi kwezinsuku ezi-3 kuya kwezingu-4 khona mhla zi-4 kuJulayi. Ayikho enye imboni ebhekene nemodeli yebhizinisi "ye-hyper-seasonal" enjalo.
 
Imithelela engaba khona ye-1.3G ne-1.4S iziqhumane zochwepheshe:
• Ukwehla kokuthengwa kwempahla okuvela eChina kungenzeka kuholele ekwenyukeni kwezindleko, njengoba izinkampani kufanele zithumele amanye amazwe ukuthengwa kwazo.
• Ngenkathi umbukiso omkhulu ukhombisa ukugubha uSuku lweNkululeko kulindeleke ukuthi luqhubeke, kungahle kube khona amagobolondo ambalwa adutshulwayo njengoba isabelomali sihlala siyisicaba. Izinkampani eziningi ezinkulu zokubonisa zithwala izimpahla ezibalulekile unyaka nonyaka, kepha ekuhlinzekweni kwalo nyaka, kungadingeka ukuthi basebenzise imithombo yegobolondo ye-premium. Amagobolondo azoba ngcono kepha azobiza kakhulu. Lokho kusho ukuthi ngaphandle kwesabelomali esandisiwe, imibukiso yeziqhumane ingabona amagobolondo ambalwa edutshulwa.
• Imibukiso emincane yomphakathi ingahlupheka kakhulu noma ingenzeki nhlobo. Imiboniso evamile efana nalena yenziwa yizinkampani ezincane zokubonisa ezingase zingabi neqoqo elikhulu le-carryover. Ukushoda kokuphakelwa kulo nyaka kungahle kube yingozi kakhulu.
 
Imiphumela engaba khona yeziqhumane zabasebenzisi be-1.4G:
• Ukwehla kokuthengwa kwempahla okuvela eChina kuzoholela ekusweleni okukhulu kwempahla.
• Ukuntuleka kwempahla kuzobangela izindleko ezandayo zazo zonke izinhlaka ezithintekayo — abangenisa impahla ngaphakathi, abathengisi bezitolo, abathengisi kanye nabathengi.
• I-China ihlinzeka cishe ngezi-100% zeziqhumane zabathengi ezisetshenziswa emakethe yase-US. Njengoba kunikezwe ukubambezeleka ngenxa yeCoronavirus nokuvalwa kwemboni kwangaphambilini, imboni ibhekene nento engakaze ibhekane nayo ngaphambili.
• Ukuthunyelwa okulibazisekile kuzolimaza ngoba i-inventory kufanele ifike ezinqolobaneni zokungenisa / ezitolo ezinkulu kusasele amasonto ayi-6-8 ngaphambi kweholide likaJulayi 4, ukuze isatshalaliswe ezweni lonke ngesikhathi abathengisi bakwazi ukusungula izitolo zabo bese beqala ukukhangisa kwabo. Njengoba kudingeka izinto eziningi kakhulu kule sizini ifika sekwephuze kangaka, kuzoba nezingqinamba ezinkulu kubadayisi bamabhizinisi amancane ukuze baphile kule sizini.
 
Izilinganiso zomnotho zesizini yeziqhumane:
• Imboni yeziqhumane yaseMelika ibhekene nenselelo yezomnotho engakaze ibonwe. Imininingwane evela kwisizini ka-2018 ikhombisa imboni ehlanganisiwe yemali engu- $ 1.3B ehlukaniswe phakathi kochwepheshe ($ 360MM) nomthengi ($ 945MM). Iziqhumane zabathengi zicishe zifake u- $ 1Billion kuphela.
• Lezi zingxenye zomkhakha zikhule ngesilinganiso esingu-2.0% kanye no-7.0% ngaphezu kuka-2016-2018, ngokulandelana. Sisebenzisa lawo mazinga okukhula, njengokulinganisela, singakhombisa ukuthi imali engenayo kulo nyaka ingaba okungenani ukuhlukaniswa kwe- $ 1.33B phakathi kobuchwepheshe ($ 367MM) nomthengi ($ 1,011MM).
• Kodwa-ke, kulo nyaka kulindeleke ukuthi ukukhula kukhule kakhulu. UJulayi 4 ungoMgqibelo - usuku oluhle kakhulu lukaJulayi 4 embonini. Uma kucatshangwa ukuthi isilinganiso samanani okukhula kusuka ngoMgqibelo owedlule, ngoJulayi 4, silinganisela ukuthi imali engenayo embonini ngaphansi kwezimo ezijwayelekile ingaba ngu- $ 1.41B, ehlukaniswe phakathi kochwepheshe ($ 380MM) nomthengi ($ 1,031MM). , kusukela ekuqubukeni kweCoronavirus, endaweni yokulahleka kwenzuzo ka-30-40%. Endabeni yezigaba zomkhakha ezifanele, sisebenzisa iphuzu eliphakathi nendawo lama-35%.

Ngokuya ngolwazi lwethu, ukulahlekelwa okucatshangelwe kule sizini yile:
         Iziqhumane zochwepheshe - Imali elahlekile: $ 133MM, inzuzo elahlekile: $ 47MM.
         Iziqhumane zabathengi - Imali elahlekile: $ 361MM, inzuzo elahlekile $ 253MM.

Lokhu kulahlekelwa kungahle kungabonakali kukhulu uma kuqhathaniswa nezinye izimboni, kodwa kubaluleke kakhulu embonini eyenziwe izinkampani ezimbalwa ezinkulu nezinkulungwane zemisebenzi emincane kakhulu "yomama ne-pop". Ngenxa yalokhu, abaningi balaba banikazi bazoxoshwa emabhizinisini.
Sibhekene nokulahlekelwa, ngokuswela indlela engcono yokukubeka, unyaka wonke. Ayikho isizini yesibili ngobuningi bemboni yeziqhumane yomthengi. Njengoba lolu daba luthinta isizini kaJulayi 4 ngokungalingani, ingxenye enkulu kakhulu yemali etholwa yinkampani yeziqhumane, ukulahleka kungaba kukhulu kakhulu.